CasinoCityTimes.com

Gurus
News
Newsletter
Author Home Author Archives Author Books Search Articles Subscribe
Stay informed with the
NEW Casino City Times newsletter!
Newsletter Signup
Stay informed with the
NEW Casino City Times newsletter!
John Robison Archives
More Strategy Experts

Gaming Guru

author's picture
 

Ask the Slot Expert: Double Your Royal promotion

28 June 2017

By John Robison, Slot Expert™

Question: The Gold Coast in Las Vegas is running a Double Your Royal promotion on Sundays in June. Is this a good promotion? Should I change my strategy? And should I wait until the promotion to play video poker? I don't want to hurt my chances of hitting a royal during the promotion.

Answer: Doubling the value of your royal flush is really a best case scenario in this promotion. When you hit a royal flush, you're given a voucher to take to the slot club, where you'll draw an envelope from one of three drums based on the denomination you were playing. The value in the envelope determines how many slot dollars you'll get for your royal. If you hit your royal on a quarter machine, you'll draw from a drum with envelopes ranging from $50 to $1000. The envelopes in the drum for half-dollar machines contain values from $75 to $2000. And the envelopes in the drum for dollars and up have values from $100 to $4000.

The first problem in analyzing the promotion is that we don't know the distribution of the values in the envelopes, so we can't calculate the expected value for the envelope draw. The second problem is you get slot dollars and not cash. One hundred slot dollars could turn into thousands of real dollars or nothing.

Let's be very conservative and assume you'll get 100 slot dollars for the royal you hit on a dollar NSUD machine. Now let's change the value of a royal to $4100 and generate the strategy using the strategy generator on the Wizard of Odds site. The only strategy change is favoring a 2-card royal King high over a 4-card inside straight. You can generate the strategy using a larger value for the slot dollar reward, but my experience with these sorts of drawings is that the I usually get the lowest value possible.

It's not a great promotion, but it's not bad if you're an Emerald-level player. You can play NSUD at long-term breakeven with 3x points and even squeeze out a bit of a profit if you use your points for food.

You don't have to worry about hitting a royal before the promotion affecting your chances of hitting a royal during the promotion. The machines don't know how long it's been since you hit a royal. Your chances of hitting a royal are the same on every hand -- even the hand right after you hit a royal. The reason we don't see players hit many royals in close proximity is because hitting a royal is an unlikely event. And having an unlikely event happen twice in a row or within close proximity is even more unlikely.

I gave this promotion a shot the past two Sundays. I figured that the extra slot dollars for the royal would have little effect on the strategy, so I didn't generate a new strategy until I received your question. I have to admit, though, that towards the end of each day without hitting a royal that I went a little more aggressively for a royal and held King-high 2-card royals over inside straights and even 2-card royals with an Ace.

I never got a royal, but I can't tell you how many times I got four cards to the royal. I can't tell you because I didn't keep track. But it sure seems like every time I held a 3-card royal I'd get only one of the cards I needed to complete it.


Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert™, at slotexpert@slotexpert.com. Because of the volume of mail I receive, I regret that I can't reply to every question.

Copyright © John Robison. Slot Expert and Ask the Slot Expert are trademarks of John Robison.

 

Ask the Slot Expert: How much do casinos win each day?

21 June 2017
Question: How much do casinos get from players on a daily basis? Answer: The answer to this question is relatively easy to find online. Multiple sources have this information. Publicly traded corporations publish revenue figures in their annual reports. State gaming commissions, in addition, ... (read more)
 

Ask the Slot Expert: Hot tips for a Vegas visitor

14 June 2017
Question: A few weeks ago you had an article about someone who had a friend who pushed the button on his slot machine and the friend got a jackpot and the casino paid the friend. What happens when a stranger hits the button? A few years ago I was playing Wheel of Fortune at Ballys in AC. I got to spin for the Wheel of Fortune bonus. ... (read more)
 

Ask the Slot Expert: These are a few of my favorite slots

7 June 2017
Question: I'm a fan of the Top Dollar and two- or three-coin Double Diamond games. What are your favorite games? Answer: For video poker, I like Not So Ugly Ducks (NSUD) because that is frequently the highest-paying video poker pay table that gives full slot club credit in the Las Vegas locals casinos. ... (read more)

Next 10 Articles >

  • Featured Articles

Hit Frequency, Reno, Atlantic City, Double Up

Hi there, Has there ever been any research done into what number of times a slot machine will pay "anything" during one hundred spins on the average? I have counted many times and find the average slot machine will pay roughly 16 times out of 100 spins. That includes winning a lowly cherry return to a bigger win. ... (read more)
 

Slot Machine Pay Off

Dear John, In reference to the reader's question about slot machines where you play for gold or silver tokens: In Las Vegas, many of the casinos have 25-cent slots that pay off a $10 jackpot with a $10 silver souvenir token. ... (read more)
 

Declare Your Independence from the Slots

On this Independence Day as we celebrate 226 years of independence from the tyranny of the British, consider making your own Declaration of Independence from the tyranny of the slot machines. You don't have to stop playing machines altogether. Just switch to playing video ... (read more)
 

Guide to Winning at Slots: The Best Number of Coins to Play

Every casino guide to gaming recommends playing maximum coins on all slot machines. And almost everyone who's written a book about slots also recommends playing maximum coins when playing a slot machine. I analyzed over 1,000 slot machine programs and I discovered that ... (read more)
John Robison
John Robison is an expert on slot machines and how to play them. John is a slot and video poker columnist and has written for many of gaming’s leading publications. He holds a master's degree in computer science from the prestigious Stevens Institute of Technology.

You may hear John give his slot and video poker tips live on The Good Times Show, hosted by Rudi Schiffer and Mike Schiffer, which is broadcast from Memphis on KXIQ 1180AM Friday afternoon from from 2PM to 5PM Central Time. John is on the show from 4:30 to 5. You can listen to archives of the show on the web anytime.

Books by John Robison:

The Slot Expert's Guide to Playing Slots
John Robison
John Robison is an expert on slot machines and how to play them. John is a slot and video poker columnist and has written for many of gaming’s leading publications. He holds a master's degree in computer science from the prestigious Stevens Institute of Technology.

You may hear John give his slot and video poker tips live on The Good Times Show, hosted by Rudi Schiffer and Mike Schiffer, which is broadcast from Memphis on KXIQ 1180AM Friday afternoon from from 2PM to 5PM Central Time. John is on the show from 4:30 to 5. You can listen to archives of the show on the web anytime.

Books by John Robison:

The Slot Expert's Guide to Playing Slots