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Best of John Robison
Thanks for the kind words about my columns.
You ask a number of good questions and make some good points.
I'm a little surprised that you find you're losing less money on the high-denomination machines. The decrease in house edge going up in denomination from dollars rarely offsets the increase in risk by betting more per spin. Still, if you look at the virtual reel layouts of, say, a dollar Triple Strike and a $10 Triple Strike, you'll find that the chances of hitting any particular winning combination are pretty much the same on both machines -- but winning combinations pay 10 times as much on the ten-dollar machine. It's easier to hit for $200 on the $10 machine.
Now, as to whether you will hit three 7s more frequently in the future, machines never have to make up for what they have done in the past. Short-term aberrations from the probabilities we expect have less and less of an effect on a machine's numbers as the machine gets more play. A drop of food coloring in a gallon of water has much less of an effect than the same drop in a shot glass of water.
Finally, some casinos will use payback programs with high hit frequencies on their higher denomination machines. It's exciting to see high-denomination players easily hit amounts that are rarely hit on low-denomination machines. A $200 hit on a dollar machine is pretty high on the paytable, but a $200 hit on a $10 machine might be the for award double bars.
Best of luck in and out of the casinos,
Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert, at firstname.lastname@example.org. Because of the volume of mail I receive, I regret that I can't reply to every question.
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