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Profiling the Profile Wizard - Part 29 January 2005
I actually didn't throw caution completely to the wind. I first went to the site using my work PC, which has a really good anti-spyware program on it (from the Giant company). I wanted to download it and install it on my home PC, but Microsoft bought Giant at the end of last year, and Giant no longer sells the program. I'll have to wait for the Microsoft-branded version of it later this month.
Looking at the content on the site itself, just as in their press releases, tons of typos everywhere. They say their system is "like counting cards, but much .. much easier!"
Already, here's a problem. Counting cards works because blackjack is a dependent trials game. That is, what has happened in the past affects what will happen in the future. Slots, on the other hand, are independent trials games. What has happened in the past has no bearing on what will happen in the future. When a ten is dealt in blackjack, you're less likely to get a ten because one of the tens in the deck is now out of play. On the other hand, when you hit mixed bars on a slot, your chances of hitting mixed bars on the next spin haven't changed. One of the mixed bars combinations was not removed from the machine.
On their page about the RNG, they say: "Our method will help you in two ways, (1) .. Playing only those machines that will pay a win sooner than much latter [sic] thereby saving you money ... You don't play a machine unless it is ready to pay. (2) Knowing when to stop playing after a win which is as important if not more important than knowing when to start."
So, how does this system work? From their site:
How much will ths cost? In my first article, I wrote that I had found a release on another site mentioning something about $10, but that figure is nowhere to be found on their sales site. On their order page (By the way, why does every link they have on their site have to open a new instance of the browser?), your choices are $138 for five days of unlimited profiling, $278 for 15, and $418 for 30.
As I said before, slot machines are independent trials games. You can't predict what will happen next by what has happened in the past. The RNG is running constantly and the machine goes through dozens of different outcomes if you wait even a fraction of a second before pressing the spin button. How can they possibly profile a machine?
This system is complete nonsense.
The final insult is in the Contact Information and Technical Support section:
We have been running several websites for the past few years with our contact info available to everyone who visits but due to the tremendous amount of non sales related questions and even some not related to casino slots altogether, we decided to charge a $5.00 non refundable fee to process all non customer inquiries whether they are sales related or not, or website business related or not. Sorry about that!
Gee, you have to pay $5 just to ask them a question about their system.
On many pages on their site, they mention other slot systems and call them "crap." Well, they ought to know.
Save your money.
If you want a good value for a couple of hundred dollars, come to Frank Scoblete's Gamblers Jamboree at Casino Windsor near Detroit on May 21 and May 22, 2005. There will be over 36 seminars featuring many of the writers on the Frank Scoblete network, including myself. Regular rates for the jamboree are $199 for one person or $299 for two, but you can get a 10% discount if you mention that the Slot Expert sent you. Call 1-800-944-0406 for more information or to register.
Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert, at email@example.com. Because of the volume of mail I receive, I regret that I can't send a reply to every question. Also be advised that it may take two or more months for your question to appear in my column.
This article is provided by the Frank Scoblete Network. Melissa A. Kaplan is the network's managing editor. If you would like to use this article on your website, please contact Casino City Press, the exclusive web syndication outlet for the Frank Scoblete Network. To contact Frank, please e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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